Unfortunately, I haven’t had a lot of time to write on this subject (sounds strange, since I’m not teaching during the summer…).  What I can say is that its become apparent that the security dilemma between Han and Uighurs in Xinjiang, China has deteriorated to the point that (a) groups of both Uighuer and Han Chinese have taken to arming themselves and engaging in mob-style violence an (b) the Chinese government are having a difficult time suppressing violence amongst the groups, despite their better efforts.

The consequences of this breakdown of security are typical, however.  Groups will become more polarized, especially as each group’s leaders and masses perceive that the Chinese government lacks the ability to restore order and provide for a sustainable solution to the conflict.  In addition, repressive police tactics employed by the Chinese authorities, while achieving some measure of short-term stability, will also foster enmity amongst hard-liners of either side who feel that the conflict has not been resolved.  Finally, unless the Chinese government is willing and able to set up some sort of post-conflict means of resolving the underlying issues to the conflict, future conflict is likely to break out again due to a variety of proximate causes.  In addition, future conflicts between Uighers and Han will become more violent.

Three articles-an editorial, a photo essay, and a podcast all have caught my eyes in recent days-be sure to embrace each of them.

How China Wins and Loses Xinjiang (Foreign Policy)
“The Chinese government can put down a riot — but its heavy-handed tactics ensure that ethnic tensions will keep simmering.”

Who are the Uighers? (Foreign Policy)
“What motivates China’s restless Muslim minority”

Uighers and China’s Social Justice Problem (Council on Foreign Relations)